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To reverse a decade of weakening overall aspect productivity, regional labour market policy is moving from easy job creation to handling active labor force transitions. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are heightening their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil revenue structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the concern is strengthening financial resilience through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, effective AI implementation, managed labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outperform most worldwide areas peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership rules that aim to stimulate more financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and financial services remain essential growth chauffeurs, supported by population development and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching ongoing investment in facilities, innovation and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has been available in building diverse, resistant and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining speed, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Why Skill Improvement Is the UAE's Top PriorityWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the velocity of technological change, though that velocity is genuine, but rather a fundamental shift in how business develop of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more extensive transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will behave like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide organization results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC model's development.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, including the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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