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To reverse a decade of weakening total factor performance, regional labour market policy is shifting from simple job creation to handling active workforce transitions. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as companies integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are magnifying their focus on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the concern is reinforcing financial resilience through more safe trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI release, handled labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to exceed most global regions peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that intend to promote further investment. The financial deficit is projected to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil prices, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay key development motorists, supported by population development and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is expected to get again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in infrastructure, innovation and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has actually been available in structure diverse, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring speed, supported by robust need and rising financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversification efforts.
How to Leverage Market Research for 2026 GrowthWhat distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is genuine, however rather a fundamental shift in how business develop of their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more extensive transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 conferences between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what follows, consisting of the growth and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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