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To reverse a decade of deteriorating overall factor performance, regional labour market policy is shifting from basic task production to managing active labor force shifts. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more common as firms incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil rates anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil income structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the priority is reinforcing financial strength through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, effective AI release, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic need and renewed investment momentum, according to the most current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outperform most worldwide areas peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and increasing financial investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil incomes will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to rise again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including reduced foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate further financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services remain crucial development motorists, supported by population growth and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to pick up once again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in infrastructure, technology and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has been available in building diverse, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
Updating the Gulf Back Office Through Digital Shared SolutionsScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting rate, supported by robust need and rising financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological modification, though that acceleration is real, however rather a basic shift in how business conceive of their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with global company results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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