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Instead of marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is significantly considered as a consolidation year, in which diversification-led growth ends up being more deeply ingrained in the region's economic model, minimizing dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing durability to external shocks. Projections from major institutions broadly converge on a stronger GCC growth profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resilient domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to differing degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

The World Bank, on the other hand, projects 3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. The IMF similarly sees momentum improving, with GCC output development predicted to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent typically in 2025, reflecting a shift toward more favorable general conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) tasks global growth reducing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with advanced economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and developing economies simply above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC growth would position the area materially ahead of the world average and a little above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, enhancing the GCC's status as a fairly high-growth pocketprovided that local danger conditions stay consisted of and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors currently represent more than 73 percent of overall GDP, a share that has continued to increase as federal governments expand investment in services, facilities, and technology. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity throughout the GCC is predicted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector investment and reform stay central to sustaining this trend. Policy procedures targeted at bring in foreign direct investment, reducing foreign ownership guidelines, expanding capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil growth and reduce the region's direct exposure to oil cost volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the development outlook, oil revenues are anticipated to play a supportive function in 2026.

Oxford Economics anticipates Brent crude rates to fall listed below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, limiting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Nevertheless, oil supply is anticipated to rise once again in the 2nd half of the year, with a full loosening up of staying production caps likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions across the GCC stay broadly supportive of growth. Inflation is expected to stay low, with the IMF forecasting average inflation of 2 percent across the area in 2026. Stable rates are helping preserve real family earnings and underpin consumer spending, which Oxford Economics expects to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.